Prediction of Leonardo Rossi vs Nikola Jovic at M15 Antalya 12-09-25

• Leonardo Rossi has demonstrated stronger recent form on second serve points, securing 42.80%, compared to Nikola Jovic's 35.60%. Might this suggest Rossi's second serve is more reliable?
• In return games, Jovic edges slightly ahead on both first and second serve returns, with Rossi achieving 29.57% on first serve returns and 44.02% on second serve returns, whereas Jovic reaches 30.84% and 46.15%, respectively.
• Under pressure, Rossi seems more adept, saving 51.98% of breakpoints faced, in contrast to Jovic's 45.69%.
• Over the past year, Rossi has a higher win percentage at 45.10% compared to Jovic’s 35.14%, which might indicate a consistency edge for Rossi.
• On surface preference, Rossi excels on hard courts with a 63% win rate, making it his best surface and could factor into a match on that surface.
• Both players have predominantly competed at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, but Rossi has a slight edge in performance with a win rate of 45.65% compared to Jovic's 35.14%.
• When it comes to the quality of opponents over the last year, both players have faced opponents with nearly identical average rankings (385.86 for Rossi and 385.54 for Jovic).
• In deciding sets, Rossi has a better track record, winning 54% of such games, whereas Jovic has managed 44%.
• Should we also consider current form at this particular event to refine our prediction?

Editorial Prediction (December 8, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming tennis match promises a tight and competitive face-off between Leonardo Rossi and Nikola Jovic, each bringing distinct strengths to the court. Several factors suggest Rossi might hold a slight advantage.

Rossi’s consistency on the second serve, ability to perform under pressure, and superior track record in deciding sets may give him the edge needed to clinch the match. Additionally, his historical performance on his best surface might further bolster his chances if the match is played on similar terrain.

While Jovic demonstrates formidable return game statistics, his comparative weakness in saving break points under pressure could be a vulnerability Rossi exploits. Based on the comprehensive analysis, Leonardo Rossi is the likely candidate to emerge victorious in this match.